Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.000006 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008 0.000009 0.000009 0.000011
2025-08-03 0.000005 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008 0.000009 0.000011 0.000014
2025-08-10 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000008 0.000010 0.000013 0.000017
2025-08-17 0.000004 0.000005 0.000006 0.000008 0.000011 0.000015 0.000020
2025-08-24 0.000004 0.000005 0.000006 0.000008 0.000011 0.000016 0.000023
2025-08-31 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000008 0.000012 0.000017 0.000028
2025-09-07 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000008 0.000012 0.000019 0.000033
2025-09-14 0.000003 0.000004 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000021 0.000037
2025-09-21 0.000003 0.000004 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000022 0.000043
2025-09-28 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000013 0.000024 0.000049
2025-10-05 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000014 0.000026 0.000058
2025-10-12 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000015 0.000029 0.000070
2025-10-19 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000015 0.000032 0.000084
2025-10-26 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000016 0.000036 0.000104
2025-11-02 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000008 0.000017 0.000039 0.000122
2025-11-09 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000009 0.000018 0.000043 0.000149
2025-11-16 0.000002 0.000003 0.000004 0.000008 0.000018 0.000045 0.000166
2025-11-23 0.000002 0.000003 0.000004 0.000008 0.000018 0.000048 0.000197
2025-11-30 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000019 0.000053 0.000240
2025-12-07 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000019 0.000054 0.000267
2025-12-14 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000019 0.000057 0.000309
2025-12-21 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000019 0.000061 0.000360
2025-12-28 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000008 0.000020 0.000067 0.000453